Still, these outcomes hinge on a formal Commission vote, which favor Ripple. Republicans Chair Atkins and Commissioners Mark Uyeda and Hester Peirce, known for supporting pro-crypto policies, may align with President Trump’s agenda. Having dismissed the Coinbase (COIN) case in February, the Commission may also favor dropping the appeal and finalizing Judge Torres’ ruling. Until then, XRP remains well below its January peak of $3.3999 and all-time high of $3.5505.
Former SEC lawyer John Reed Stark reacted to remarks from the new Chief of the SEC Cyber and Emerging Technologies Unit, stating:
“BREAKING NEWS: The new Chief of the SEC Cyber and Emerging Technologies Unit (formerly the SEC Crypto Unit), speaks for the first time publicly. Stick a fork in SEC crypto-enforcement, it’s done.”
On May 4, Stark had already delivered a critical view:
“The entire crypto enforcement program at the SEC has been absolutely demolished … There’s no audits, no inspections, no examinations, no net capital requirements, there’s no cyber security requirements, there’s nothing.”
XRP Outlook: Legal Momentum and ETF Trends
XRP fell 1.31% on Wednesday, May 7, reversing Tuesday’s 1.08% gain to close at $2.1267. The token underperformed the broader crypto market, which rose 0.08%, taking the total crypto market cap to $2.95 trillion. Uncertainty surrounding the SEC’s legal strategies and the prospects of an XRP-spot ETF approval weighed on XRP demand.
Institutional Demand Picks Up
Institutional investors responded positively to the Fed’s policy decision and Powell’s press conference, supporting BTC’s session gains. According to Farside Investors, key inflow trends for May 7 included:
- ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) had net inflows of $54.7 million.
- Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) saw net inflows of $39.9 million.
- Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) reported net inflows of $10.5 million.
Excluding pending flow data for BlackRock’s (BLK) iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the US BTC-spot ETF market saw total net inflows of $105.1 million on May 7, potentially reversing Tuesday’s outflows of $85.7 million. Notably, IBIT could extend its inflow streak to seventeen sessions.
BTC Price Outlook: Policy and Legislation in Focus
BTC rose 0.17% on May 7, following Tuesday’s 2.19% rally, closing at $97,013.
Key factors likely influencing BTC’s price trajectory include Fed commentary, Bitcoin Act news, and ETF flow trends.
Key scenarios include:
- Bearish Scenario: Rising US-China tensions, hawkish Fed rhetoric, US recession concerns, resistance to the Bitcoin Act, and ETF outflows. Bearish sentiment could send BTC toward $90,000.
- Bullish Scenario: Upbeat US-China trade talks, a dovish Fed outlook, pro-crypto legislation, and ETF inflows. Bullish sentiment could drive BTC above $100,000.
Senator Cynthia Lummis recently reintroduced the Bitcoin Act, proposing the US acquire one million BTC over five years with a 20-year hold. If passed, the bill would significantly tighten long-term BTC supply.
This week, two developments at the state level suggested the Bitcoin Act may face political challenges on Capitol Hill. While New Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte signed a bill allowing state investment in digital assets and metals, Arizona’s Governor Katie Hobbs vetoed similar legislation.
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